Browsing by Author "Arnold, Christian"
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Publication Coalition cabinets, presidential ideological adjustment and legislative success(CRV, 2019) Arnold, Christian; Doyle, David; Wiesehomeier, Nina; Oliveira Xavier, Lídia; Dominguez Avila, Carlos Federico; Fonseca, Vicente,; https://ror.org/02jjdwm75[No abstract available]Publication How Presidents Answer the Call of International Capital(Sage, 2023-11-01) Arnold, Christian ; Doyle, David; Wiesehomeier, Nina; https://ror.org/02jjdwm75How do governments manage expectations from international capital keen on pressuring them into adopting market-oriented economic policies during times of crises? Studying executive communication in 267 annual state-of-the-union speeches in 12 Latin American countries between 1980 and 2014 reveals two broad options for strategic position-taking on economic policies. First, when times are dire, presidents not only talk more about the economy and less about social policy, but they also attempt to repurpose other policies as an investment in development. Second, economic turmoil encourages presidents to signal policies, which are appealing to international capital owners. However, while currency crises exert more enduring pressure, the effects of loan crises are more fleeting. Our results are particularly relevant to all who seek to understand how governments use public statements to address pressures from financial markets.Publication Presidents, Policy Compromise, and Legislative Success(The University of Chicago Press, 2017-04) Arnold, Christian; Doyle, David; Wiesehomeier, Nina; https://ror.org/02jjdwm75Presidents play a central role in legislative activity in Latin America. Previous research highlights that some form of ideological compromise on behalf of the president is vital to sustain successful legislative coalitions. Yet, primarily due to the lack of a firm empirical basis on which to measure such presidential give-and-take, the extent to which presidents make use of such policy compromise, and under what conditions this is a viable strategy, remains unknown. Applying quantitative text analysis to 305 annual “state of the union” addresses of 73 presidents in 13 Latin American countries, we remedy this situation and provide comparable time-series data for Latin American presidential movements in a one-dimensional issue space between 1980 and 2014. Our results indicate that presidents will compromise in response to changes in the median party, although this effect will be mediated by the institutional context within which the president operates.