Person:
Konstantinidis, Nikitas

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Nikitas
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Konstantinidis
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IE University
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IE School of Politics, Economics & Global Affairs
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International Relations
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    Publication
    "Take back control"? The effects of supranational integration on party-system polarization
    (Springer, 2019-05-10) Matakos, Konstantinos; Mutlu Eren, Hande; Konstantinidis, Nikitas; https://ror.org/02jjdwm75
    In this paper, we examine the relationship between supranational integration and domestic party-system polarization (extremism). We first construct a theoretical argument that uncovers the key trade-off between the “output legitimacy” of a supranationally integrated party system and the inevitable loss of “input legitimacy” caused by externally imposed policy constraints. This translates into a strategic tradeoff between responsibility and responsiveness at the party level of electoral competition. We hypothesize that while moderate supranational policy constraints can initially speed-up platform convergence, ever-closer political integration may reverse the trend towards higher levels of party-system polarization and party extremism.We apply our framework to the case of EU integration and test our key non-monotonic prediction both at the party-system level of polarization and at the party level of ideological extremism. Finally, we apply to synthetic control method (SCM) for causal inference in comparative case studies to study how political integration and supranational policy constraints have affected their overall level of party-system polarization over time. Our overall empirical analysis strongly corroborates our theoretical argument.
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    Publication
    Daring to Fail: Input-Oriented Voting under Supranational Policy Constraints
    (European Consortium for Political Research, 2023-08) Konstantinidis, Nikitas; Jurado, Ignacio; Dinas, Elias; Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness; https://ror.org/02jjdwm75
    Recent literature argues that with ever-increasing levels of supranational constraints governments haveless ‘room to manoeuvre’; therefore, voters will place less weight on policy outcomes in their voting decisions. Thequestion that remains less explored is how voters fill this accountability gap. We argue that, in this context, votersmay move away from outcome- to input-oriented voting. Fulfilling their promises becomes less vital for incumbentsas long as they exhibit effort to overturn an unpopular policy framework. We test this argument against a surveyexperiment conducted in the run-up to the September 2015 election in Greece, where we find a positive impact ofthe incumbent’s exerted effort to challenge the status quo of austerity on vote intention for SYRIZA – the seniorcoalition government partner at the time – despite the failed outcome of the government’s bailout negotiations